Tourism prospects in the long term according to UNWTO, namely, international tourist arrivals worldwide are expected to increase by 3.3% per year between 2010 and 2030, reaching 1.8 billion in 2030. Between 2010 and 2030, arrivals to the newly emerging tourism destinations by 4.4% per year, are expected to double from the economic growth rate of 2.2% per year. The market share of developing countries increased from 30% in 1980 to 45% in 2014 and is expected to reach 57% in 2030, equivalent to more than 1 billion international tourist arrivals.
Increased tourist arrivals worldwide will increase tourist expenditure, and will ultimately improve the flow of the world economy. Based on data from the UNWTO, international tourist arrivals worldwide (overnight visitors) increased from 1,087 million in 2013 become 1,133 million in 2014. Demand continued to strengthen in most source markets and tourism destinations, although geopolitical, economic, and health issues are a challenge in some parts of the world. With the addition of 46 million tourists traveling the world over (+4.3%), 2014 marks five consecutive years of strong growth over the long-term average (+3.3% per year) since the 2009 financial crisis.
Author(s) Details:
Made Antara
Tourism Doctoral Program and Tourism Master Program, University of Udayana, Bali, Indonesia.
Putu Udayani Wijayanti
Agribusiness Study Program and Agrotourism Courses, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Udayana, Bali, Indonesia.
Recent Global Research Developments in long-term tourism growth prospects in Bali, Indonesia
Tourism in Bali and Sustainable Development:
- The book “Tourism in Bali and the Challenge of Sustainable Development” edited by Sylvine Pickel-Chevalier [1] delves into the impact of tourism on Bali’s social, economic, and cultural landscape.
- It discusses topics such as resilience, innovation, globalization, and sustainable development in the context of Bali’s tourism industry.
Balancing Growth and Sustainability:
- Bali’s tourism boom has been significant, but it also poses challenges. The UNWTO highlights that tourism, based on Bali’s natural, cultural, and economic assets, can be a viable alternative to labor-intensive industrialization[2].
- Sustainable practices are crucial for long-term growth. The pandemic has disrupted the industry, emphasizing the need for reflection and reformulation[3].
References
- Tourism in Bali and the Challenge of Sustainable Development
https://www.cambridgescholars.com/product/978-1-4438-5192-3 - Jayasuriya, S., Sukadana, I. W., Manning, C., & Meydianawathi, L. G. (2020). The tourism boom in Bali: Is it harming prospects for long-term economic growth? (No. 2020-01).
https://acde.crawford.anu.edu.au/publication/working-papers-trade-and-development/16043/tourism-boom-bali-it-harming-prospects-long - Tjiptono, F., Yang, L., Setyawan, A., Permana, I.B.G.A., Widaharthana, I.P.E. (2022). Tourism Sustainability in Indonesia: Reflection and Reformulation. In: Selvaranee Balasingam, A., Ma, Y. (eds) Asian Tourism Sustainability. Perspectives on Asian Tourism. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-5264-6_8
